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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.2% 74.8% -
Margin 13.1% 86.9% +10.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +9 (76-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith * 33 5-8 1-3 4-4 3 0 1 0 2 15 9 -
J. Smith * 32 8-13 0-0 4-4 11 2 0 2 4 20 18 -
T. Denson * 32 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
S. Gilling * 18 2-11 2-9 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 6 -3 -
F. Robinson * 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Creason 31 8-10 0-0 1-2 3 4 0 0 2 17 12 -
C. Lewis 27 3-5 1-1 1-2 3 2 2 0 4 8 6 -
X. Kilby 14 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 1 4 -
J. Surratt 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard * 37 5-7 0-2 10-10 5 1 2 1 2 20 20 -
A. Ainge * 36 5-9 1-5 2-5 4 8 1 0 4 13 13 -
T. Plaisted * 35 3-12 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 8 -1 -
K. Young * 29 10-15 0-0 4-5 6 1 0 0 4 24 12 -
J. Balderson * 17 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 2 9 -
J. Tavernari 17 1-6 1-5 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 4 -1 -
M. Rose 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Burgess 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
B. Murdock 4 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter