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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 91.6% 8.4% -
Bradley-Terry 71.9% 28.1% -
Margin 83.0% 17.0% -8.7 (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 68.8% 31.2% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% -
Log Adjusted 83.0% 17.0% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights -10 (55-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dyson * 37 4-10 0-0 9-11 2 2 2 0 2 17 11 -
J. Adrien * 35 6-12 0-0 2-4 7 0 3 1 4 14 9 -
H. Thabeet * 27 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 4 2 8 13 -
S. Robinson * 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A.J. Price * 13 4-6 2-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 10 5 -
C. Austrie 25 1-2 0-1 2-3 2 4 3 0 0 4 11 -
D. Wiggins 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 2 1 -
C. Kelly 11 3-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 2 0 9 11 -
M. Johnson 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 4 -
G. Edwards 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Mandeldove 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farmer * 36 3-14 1-3 2-4 5 4 0 0 2 9 2 -
J. Griffin * 35 1-5 1-2 1-2 4 2 1 1 1 4 6 -
A. Hill * 33 3-9 0-0 9-13 8 0 0 0 2 15 12 -
M. Webb * 32 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
J.R. Inman * 27 5-12 1-4 4-4 7 0 1 1 2 15 10 -
C. Nelson 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
H. Ndiaye 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 0 2 -
O. Bailey 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
F. Russell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter