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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% -
Margin 41.9% 58.1% +1.8 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.4% 73.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% -
Log Adjusted 21.6% 78.4% -

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +23 (89-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Figures 32 11-16 7-10 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 29 13 -
T. Panagiotakopoulos 24 2-5 0-2 3-4 4 4 1 0 3 7 8 -
K. Archibeque 22 1-8 0-0 4-8 4 1 0 0 3 6 0 -
D. Birden 22 0-7 0-3 2-4 6 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
D. Moore 22 2-6 1-4 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 5 7 -
C. Lowe 18 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
C. Kaba 17 1-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
T. Anderson 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 3 1 -
M. Kline 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Mason 13 2-4 1-2 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
S. Taibi 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ball 31 8-12 2-5 6-8 6 4 1 0 3 24 20 -
M. Davis 28 3-7 0-1 3-4 3 3 0 0 2 9 6 -
C. Durham 27 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 8 1 0 3 5 10 -
T. Morris 26 4-7 0-0 2-4 4 0 3 3 0 10 13 -
C. Durr 26 7-8 6-7 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 24 20 -
C. Taylor 22 3-7 0-1 3-4 5 2 3 1 3 9 10 -
A. Zamora 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 2 1 2 7 -
B. Johnson 11 0-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
E. Rush 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Malloy 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Piepoli 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Derochowski 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter