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2007-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 7.8% 92.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.7% 86.3% -
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Anderson * 38 1-4 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Burtschi * 37 2-11 0-8 1-1 6 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
D. Nwaelele * 36 5-14 4-9 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 14 7 -
N. Welch * 33 3-9 3-8 6-8 9 5 1 1 3 15 19 -
M. McCraw * 31 3-10 2-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 8 0 -
A. Henke 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
J. Frye 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Johnson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Kenzik 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Kruger * 37 2-11 1-7 9-9 5 10 0 0 1 14 17 -
W. White * 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 8 9 -
W. Adams * 32 2-13 1-4 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 8 -1 -
M. Umeh * 25 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 7 2 -
G. Essengue * 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
J. Anthony 23 5-7 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 4 0 10 16 -
C. Bailey 14 2-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
C. Terry 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Darger 8 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
M. Lawrence 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter