Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (60-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anderson * | 38 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Burtschi * | 37 | 2-11 | 0-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Nwaelele * | 36 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| N. Welch * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| M. McCraw * | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| A. Henke | 9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Frye | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kruger * | 37 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 9-9 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| W. White * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| W. Adams * | 32 | 2-13 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| M. Umeh * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Essengue * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Anthony | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| C. Bailey | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Terry | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Darger | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter