Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos -7 (74-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure * | 44 | 10-24 | 5-14 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 10 | - |
| L. Wade * | 41 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 21 | - |
| R. Williams * | 40 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. Habel * | 34 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 24 | - |
| M. Abukar * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Spain | 22 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| J. Johnson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Prentice * | 40 | 6-17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| A. Johnson * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Danridge * | 37 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| C. Toppert * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Faris * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Smith | 29 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| R. Kersten | 13 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Martinez | 11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Henfield | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Walter | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter