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2007-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% -
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 92.8% 7.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.4% 37.6% -
Log Adjusted 62.6% 37.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Taylor * 39 0-6 0-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 -4 -
M. Flowers * 37 2-10 1-6 0-0 5 4 2 0 0 5 6 -
A. Tucker * 37 6-15 4-8 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 16 4 -
B. Butch * 20 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 3 2 -
J. Chappell * 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Landry 22 6-10 4-6 2-5 5 0 0 1 1 18 13 -
J. Krabbenhoft 19 1-2 0-1 3-3 5 4 1 0 0 5 13 -
G. Stiemsma 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Bohannon 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
T. Hughes 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Neitzel * 36 10-17 6-11 2-3 2 2 0 0 5 28 10 -
T. Walton * 36 4-7 1-1 4-4 7 10 2 0 3 13 22 -
R. Morgan * 31 5-11 0-1 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
D. Naymick * 30 1-3 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 2 0 2 11 -
M. Gray * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
G. Suton 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
M. Joseph 18 0-4 0-3 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
I. Ibok 16 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 1 6 -
J. Hannon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Ducre 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Curry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Tibaldi 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Darnton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter