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2007-02-20

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 21.3% 78.7% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 79.6% 20.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% -
Log Adjusted 15.4% 84.6% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell * 38 7-15 3-5 2-4 2 1 0 0 3 19 4 -
D. Lazare * 36 3-9 0-0 1-2 8 1 2 0 0 7 9 -
G. Temple * 36 1-2 0-0 3-4 1 7 4 3 1 5 17 -
T. Martin * 30 7-17 2-7 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 16 4 -
M. Rolle * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 1 0 4 11 -
D. Mason 23 3-8 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
A. Farrer 8 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
B. Voogd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Johnson 4 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Morris * 34 6-9 0-0 8-10 10 2 1 2 3 20 23 -
R. Bradley * 33 5-13 0-2 6-8 1 2 1 0 4 16 3 -
D. Jasper * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 0 9 -
J. Crawford * 26 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 1 1 6 4 -
S. Thomas * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Meeks 27 6-10 3-5 3-3 1 1 1 0 0 18 11 -
B. Perry 19 2-4 1-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 8 9 -
L. Obrzut 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
P. Stevenson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Porter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Harris 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter