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2007-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 16.8% 83.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.2% 39.8% -
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 44.0% 56.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.8% 62.2% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -9 (70-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKowen * 38 4-10 3-4 4-4 7 8 0 0 0 15 20 -
J. Josten * 35 2-5 0-0 7-8 1 4 0 0 2 11 9 -
E. Coleman * 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 3 14 14 -
G. Stout * 28 5-8 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
K. Ahelegbe * 18 2-2 1-1 2-4 0 2 1 0 2 7 6 -
T. Brown 28 6-7 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 15 11 -
A. Koch 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Eglseder 6 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
A. Viet 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Ruffin * 37 7-14 4-8 2-3 1 9 2 0 2 20 16 -
J. Crouch * 35 3-8 2-5 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 9 3 -
W. Franklin * 35 2-11 1-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 -1 -
J.J. Tauai * 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 4 -
Z. Andrews * 24 6-8 0-0 2-4 12 1 0 0 0 14 19 -
D. Adams 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
M. Salley 16 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
A. Warren 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter