Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -20 (71-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Duffy | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Chones | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. McWilliams-Franklin | 11 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| M. Fernandez | 10 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| T. Moore | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| C. Thomas | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| S. Spencer | 3 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. Stansbury | 3 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Page | 3 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Stevenson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Smith | 14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 13 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -9 | - |
| T. Smith | 12 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 11 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Schumacher | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Givens | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Moore | 5 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
* = starter