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2007-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.7% 98.3% -
Bradley-Terry 5.6% 94.4% -
Margin 1.3% 98.7% +24.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 21.6% 78.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +20 (87-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito * 37 5-12 3-7 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 15 6 -
D. Cooper * 30 3-9 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 8 3 -
J. Jones * 28 3-9 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 8 6 -
S. Watson * 22 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Sullivan * 15 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
P. Emerson 33 7-15 2-6 7-7 4 2 1 0 0 23 15 -
W. Thompson 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
K. Field 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -2 -
E. Niedermeyer 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Averette 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Carter 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Bouldin * 36 6-10 3-6 3-3 5 1 0 0 2 18 12 -
J. Pargo * 35 3-8 0-1 0-1 3 8 1 1 1 6 10 -
D. Raivio * 32 8-15 4-9 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 20 8 -
A. Kuso * 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 5 1 5 16 -
S. Mallon * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Downs 28 8-17 3-8 0-0 6 2 1 1 0 19 12 -
D. Pendergraft 27 6-9 1-2 2-3 6 4 2 0 1 15 17 -
D. Burgess 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 5 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
W. Foster 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Sorenson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter