Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Fairfield Stags | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fairfield Stags +17 (74-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.