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2007-02-19

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 53.5% 46.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.8% 62.2% -
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 (2.6 off)

Actual: Pacific Tigers +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Calegari 33 3-7 2-4 2-4 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
V. Oliver 30 4-9 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
R. Marentez 30 1-6 0-2 2-4 2 4 2 0 4 4 2 -
T. Juillerat 28 7-11 1-1 0-3 5 7 2 0 3 15 15 -
K. Brucculeri 22 3-4 1-1 1-1 1 1 3 0 1 8 8 -
C. Portz 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 4 3 0 -
B. Ellis 19 2-5 1-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -
A. Warmerdam 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Boone 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 1 0 -
F. Henry-Ala 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. White 32 3-7 0-1 1-4 9 2 1 2 1 7 13 -
R. Vezia 25 2-5 2-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
A. Brown 25 2-4 0-0 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
A. Esparza 23 2-3 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 1 2 5 8 -
S. Johnson 23 1-4 0-2 8-10 1 4 1 1 3 10 10 -
S. Horsechief 22 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 4 0 0 4 4 2 -
W. Raffety 17 6-7 1-1 3-5 6 1 0 0 1 16 15 -
C.J. Morgan 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 5 1 -
B. Pemberton 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Neimeyer 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter