Model Predictions
| Model | UMass Minutemen | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -8 (69-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Forbes * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| S. Lasme * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Life * | 28 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Lowe * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Freeman * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Milligan | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Harris | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Mayben | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Thomas | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Bonner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts * | 40 | 7-12 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| A. Sandoval * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Scott * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Huelsman * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - |
| J. Binnie * | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Little | 31 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| L. Warren | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| N. Plummer | 22 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Johnson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter