Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +11 (48-37). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Coble * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Ryan * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| T. Doyle * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| J. Okrzesik * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Tolic * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Carson | 25 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Williams | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Moore | 15 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Nash | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McBride * | 37 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| W. Carter * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Frazier * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - |
| B. Randle * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Brock | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| T. Meacham | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Arnold | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter