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2007-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% +5.3 โœ“ (3.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 โœ“ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 40.8% 59.2% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (71-62). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Javaris Crittenton * 35 5-15 0-3 0-0 4 4 2 0 6 10 -1 -
Thaddeus Young * 31 3-7 1-1 0-0 2 6 1 1 2 7 8 -
Jeremis Smith * 26 2-8 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 4 4 4 -
Anthony Morrow * 24 7-10 2-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 3 16 8 -
Ra'Sean Dickey * 22 2-4 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 4 6 1 -
Mario West 19 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 1 1 1 2 7 5 -
Zachery Peacock 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
Alade Aminu 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
D'Andre Bell 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 4 6 -
Mouhammad Faye 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Paulus * 36 5-10 4-8 1-3 2 5 3 0 3 15 12 -
Jon Scheyer * 34 4-13 2-8 4-6 3 1 5 0 2 14 8 -
Josh McRoberts * 32 2-5 0-0 2-6 4 4 2 3 2 6 12 -
DeMarcus Nelson * 30 2-7 1-2 8-10 3 3 2 0 3 13 11 -
David McClure * 27 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 2 8 12 -
Lance Thomas 15 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 1 1 6 5 -
Gerald Henderson 12 2-2 1-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 3 6 4 -
Martynas Pocius 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Brian Zoubek 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter