Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +27 (87-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Ervin | 0 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Cosby | 0 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| T. Smith | 0 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Pfeifer | 0 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Vaughn | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Elliott | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| J. Humphrey | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | - |
| S. Mahoney | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| N. Alcius | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Pfeiffer | 0 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
* = starter