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2007-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 10.8% 89.2% +11.6 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +27 (87-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ervin 0 4-11 0-0 3-4 10 0 1 0 0 11 11 -
D. Cosby 0 3-12 2-8 6-8 5 0 1 0 0 14 8 -
T. Smith 0 3-8 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 1 -
S. Pfeifer 0 3-14 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 0 8 1 -
B. Vaughn 0 1-4 0-0 5-6 4 3 3 0 0 7 13 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Elliott 0 6-8 0-0 1-2 8 4 0 0 0 13 17 -
J. Humphrey 0 7-8 0-0 2-3 16 2 1 0 0 16 27 -
S. Mahoney 0 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 4 1 0 0 6 9 -
N. Alcius 0 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 7 7 -
J. Pfeiffer 0 5-9 4-7 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 14 7 -

* = starter