Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.4% | 52.6% | +0.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -12 (65-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Agwumaro | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 34 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Holder | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Moseley | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Bush | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| B. Thomas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 9 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| G. Kiel | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Kollo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Francis | 37 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-11 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| K. Attaway | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| I. Allen | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 7-9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Spencer | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. Smith | 26 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Otis | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Williams | 14 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Reynolds | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter