Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +11 (61-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.