Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +23 (65-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Jenkins * | 33 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| J. Ramsey * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Farmer * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| G. Blair * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| C. Captain * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Evans | 19 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| T. Gagnon | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Ingram | 14 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Dillard | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Sargent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Sweeley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Killen * | 39 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Willingham * | 34 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Roberts * | 32 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Rackauskas * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| I. Ofoegbu * | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 18 | - |
| C. Spencer | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Ritter | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Norton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Andrews | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Remphrey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter