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2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Morehead State Eagles Spread Result
Elo 65.8% 34.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 (19.1 off)

Actual: Morehead State Eagles -18 (72-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Miller 30 8-10 0-0 3-4 7 2 2 0 2 19 18 -
M. Samarco 29 8-16 4-9 2-2 2 3 1 1 2 22 11 -
R. Hamblet 28 3-5 2-3 0-0 3 6 0 0 2 8 10 -
E. Marschall 26 6-9 0-0 6-9 5 2 0 2 1 18 17 -
D. Clements 25 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 4 5 2 -
R. Sims 24 2-3 2-2 0-0 7 4 2 0 1 6 15 -
B. Moten 12 3-5 1-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 7 10 -
B. Guerin 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Lefeld 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Larson 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
D. Radivojevic 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
O. Polk 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Callahan 32 3-11 2-7 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 10 6 -
C. Brown 28 3-7 2-6 1-2 1 2 3 0 3 9 5 -
Q. Pryor 27 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 5 4 -
C. Ballard 26 2-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 5 4 -
J. Steward 25 3-8 2-4 6-6 2 1 1 0 0 14 10 -
V. Crutcher 19 3-5 1-1 1-3 3 0 0 0 2 8 4 -
S. Williams 19 2-6 0-0 6-8 9 1 0 0 3 10 11 -
M. Stallworth 16 3-5 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
N. Stojakovic 8 1-2 0-0 1-3 2 2 1 0 1 3 5 -

* = starter