Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✗ (50.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls -41 (44-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.