Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.8% | 26.2% | -5.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 19 | - |
| S. Gilling * | 30 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| T. Denson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Creason * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Smith | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| X. Kilby | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| F. Robinson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Surratt | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burtschi * | 38 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Anderson * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| M. McCraw * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Nwaelele * | 36 | 5-10 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| N. Welch * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| J. Frye | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Henke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Teets | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter