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2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% -
Margin 64.8% 35.2% -3.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 64.9% 35.1% -
Efficiency 27.5% 72.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.6% 15.4% -
Log Adjusted 84.8% 15.2% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley * 37 4-15 1-10 3-6 2 1 0 0 2 12 -2 -
R. Morris * 30 6-13 0-0 3-5 7 3 1 4 8 15 9 -
D. Jasper * 28 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 3 9 -
J. Crawford * 27 5-9 2-5 5-7 8 3 1 0 0 17 20 -
S. Thomas * 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Meeks 27 2-7 1-4 3-3 2 2 1 0 1 8 5 -
B. Perry 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
P. Stevenson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
L. Obrzut 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
R. Harris 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Porter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele * 36 4-7 3-4 4-5 2 7 0 0 2 15 15 -
R. Hendrix * 32 5-10 0-0 6-9 9 2 2 1 2 16 18 -
J. Davidson * 29 3-10 0-0 0-2 3 1 2 3 1 6 4 -
A. Gee * 19 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 0 2 0 2 5 3 -
B. Hollinger * 19 1-2 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
M. Riley 25 4-8 2-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 2 12 8 -
J. Tubbs 24 3-4 2-3 1-2 3 1 3 0 1 9 11 -
D. Jemison 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 4 4 -

* = starter