Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.7% | 74.3% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.