Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 38 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Sosa | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Palacios | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| D. Caracter | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Smith | 24 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| T. Laudermill | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Clark | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. McGee | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Padgett | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Farley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Scott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McNeal | 37 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| D. James | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| W. Matthews | 33 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Fitzgerald | 27 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Barro | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Hayward | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Burke | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Kinsella | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter