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2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% -
Margin 57.3% 42.7% -1.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 25.1% 74.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.6% 36.4% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Covington 0 2-8 0-1 0-1 4 2 1 0 0 4 3 -
E. Spencer 0 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 -
B. Benfield 0 3-5 0-1 1-2 6 0 1 0 0 7 9 -
P. Barlow 0 0-5 0-2 2-2 5 7 0 0 0 2 9 -
A. McCoughtry 0 11-21 3-10 4-4 10 1 6 0 0 29 25 -
T. Williams 38 0-6 0-2 0-2 7 6 2 0 6 0 3 -
E. Sosa 30 5-9 3-6 2-2 1 4 3 0 1 15 13 -
J. Palacios 29 4-7 1-3 0-0 6 1 2 0 0 9 11 -
D. Caracter 27 6-8 0-0 2-5 2 2 2 0 4 14 8 -
J. Smith 24 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 9 9 -
T. Laudermill 19 1-3 0-2 0-1 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
E. Clark 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
A. McGee 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Padgett 7 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 6 6 -
T. Farley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
W. Scott 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Ellis 0 6-14 1-7 6-6 6 4 4 0 0 19 19 -
C. Quaye 0 7-13 2-4 4-6 4 1 2 0 0 20 14 -
J. McCullough 0 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 6 2 0 0 4 9 -
E. Osagie 0 1-5 0-1 2-4 9 1 1 0 0 4 10 -
M. Thrower 0 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. McNeal 37 6-13 3-4 3-5 1 4 1 1 3 18 9 -
D. James 34 3-6 0-1 3-6 5 3 2 0 4 9 9 -
W. Matthews 33 2-7 0-3 4-5 5 2 3 0 2 8 9 -
D. Fitzgerald 27 3-4 2-2 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 9 6 -
O. Barro 23 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
L. Hayward 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 4 5 -
D. Cubillan 13 1-4 1-3 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
D. Burke 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 1 -
M. Kinsella 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter