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2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 7.2% 92.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.2% 58.8% -
Margin 38.9% 61.1% +2.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 10.2% 89.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.0% 37.0% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Mims * 39 0-5 0-1 2-2 3 5 1 1 3 2 4 -
I. Swann * 37 5-10 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 13 6 -
A. Thornton * 35 12-23 3-6 3-4 16 2 0 1 3 30 23 -
U. Echefu * 31 2-11 2-8 2-2 9 1 0 2 0 8 9 -
J. Rich * 22 0-4 0-2 3-4 1 3 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Allen 22 4-7 1-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 9 7 -
R. Reid 8 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Breeden 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Soto 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary * 39 6-21 3-8 4-4 6 6 4 0 2 19 12 -
J.R. Reynolds * 35 5-13 3-7 4-4 8 6 1 0 3 17 16 -
J. Cain * 29 2-6 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 5 4 -
M. Diane * 23 1-8 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
T. Soroye * 22 2-4 0-0 1-5 9 1 0 1 0 5 12 -
A. Joseph 23 6-9 5-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 17 9 -
W. Harris 18 2-5 0-1 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 5 4 -
R. Pettinella 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
S. Tat 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Mikalauskas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter