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Texas Longhorns 68
@
Baylor Bears 67
2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 36.1% 63.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 36.3% 63.7% - ✗
Margin 25.4% 74.6% +5.9 ✗ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 66.2% 33.8% - ✓
Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 87.4% 12.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.6% 12.4% - ✓

Actual: Baylor Bears -1 (67-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Durant * 40 5-16 1-6 9-10 14 0 2 0 1 20 19 -
A.J. Abrams * 35 3-8 2-5 4-4 2 3 0 0 2 12 7 -
J. Mason * 35 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D.J. Augustin * 32 4-10 1-3 2-4 2 4 1 0 9 11 -1 -
D. James * 25 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 3 4 -
C. Atchley 26 5-5 0-0 5-7 8 1 2 1 2 15 20 -
D. Pittman 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Winder 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.D. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Dugat * 37 5-12 4-9 1-2 7 1 0 0 1 15 10 -
C. Jerrells * 37 6-13 4-8 2-3 3 3 3 0 3 18 11 -
T. Carter * 30 3-8 2-7 2-2 2 1 4 0 2 10 7 -
K. Rogers * 28 4-14 0-0 2-4 11 0 1 0 2 10 6 -
M. Diene * 19 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
T. Bush 16 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
P. Fields 15 1-3 0-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
J. Lomers 15 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
M. Shepherd 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter