Model Predictions
| Model | Georgetown Hoyas | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats -3 (55-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgetown Hoyas
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Green * | 40 | 8-16 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| J. Sapp * | 39 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Wallace * | 36 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Summers * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Hibbert * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| P. Ewing Jr. | 19 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| V. Macklin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Rivers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark * | 36 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Nardi * | 34 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Sumpter * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Reynolds * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| W. Sheridan * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Cunningham | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Redding | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter