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2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Pittsburgh Panthers Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% -
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -
Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 21.4% 78.6% -

Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Appleby * 36 4-9 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 11 7 -
S. Hawes * 36 6-16 0-0 0-0 12 4 1 3 2 12 14 -
J. Dentmon * 35 2-4 1-1 1-2 6 2 0 0 4 6 6 -
J. Brockman * 27 6-13 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 5 13 5 -
Q. Pondexter * 17 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
A. Oliver 32 3-7 2-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 8 7 -
H. Gasser 10 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
A. Wallace 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gray * 35 2-7 0-0 1-2 10 2 2 2 2 5 12 -
M. Cook * 31 6-11 0-1 3-6 4 2 1 0 1 15 10 -
L. Fields * 31 2-9 2-5 8-8 4 4 1 0 2 14 12 -
A. Graves * 23 1-6 1-4 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 -2 -
L. Kendall * 18 2-9 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 2 1 4 1 -
R. Ramon 28 3-4 1-2 4-4 1 3 2 0 0 11 13 -
S. Young 20 4-9 0-3 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 10 5 -
K. Benjamin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Biggs 7 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter