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UConn Huskies 63
@
Syracuse Orange 73
2007-02-17

Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies Syracuse Orange Spread Result
Elo 90.2% 9.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% - ✓
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 ✗ (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.4% 68.6% - ✓
Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 13.4% 86.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% - ✓

Actual: Syracuse Orange +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dyson 39 8-21 6-13 5-8 6 3 3 0 1 27 17 -
J. Adrien 36 3-8 0-0 0-4 10 0 0 3 2 6 9 -
C. Austrie 30 1-7 0-2 3-4 5 4 1 1 0 5 9 -
H. Thabeet 26 4-8 0-0 3-5 8 0 0 4 0 11 15 -
A.J. Price 17 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 4 3 1 -
S. Robinson 16 2-5 1-2 1-1 3 0 0 1 4 6 1 -
D. Wiggins 11 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 -2 -
C. Kelly 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 0 2 -
M. Johnson 8 0-2 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Edwards 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 1 2 -

Syracuse Orange

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Devendorf 37 4-17 1-4 6-6 4 3 2 2 3 15 6 -
D. Watkins 36 1-6 0-0 2-2 13 0 0 5 2 4 14 -
D. Nichols 36 7-20 1-7 5-5 9 1 1 1 2 20 10 -
A. Rautins 31 4-9 3-6 2-2 4 3 1 1 1 13 12 -
P. Harris 29 4-9 0-1 8-12 11 2 0 0 1 16 19 -
T. Roberts 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 3 4 -
J. Wright 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 2 1 -
M. Gorman 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter