Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | +6.4 | ✓ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +32 (81-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -5 | - |
| A. Haluska * | 28 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Freeman * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Tate * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Looby * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Gorney | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Henderson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Bohall | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J.R. Angle | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Crawford | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Wessels | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Adams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Walton * | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 25 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 24 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Gray * | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| G. Suton | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Joseph | 20 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| I. Ibok | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Ducre | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hannon | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Tibaldi | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Curry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Darnton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter