Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.1% | 18.9% | -8.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. Lawson * | 33 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 18 | - |
| B. Wright * | 30 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Terry * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Thompson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Green | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Frasor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rice * | 40 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | - |
| S. Marshall * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| J. Oates * | 33 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Dudley * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 7-13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| S. Spears * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Blair | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Haynes | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Roche | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter