Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -6 (50-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 34 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Rhodes * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| D. Slater * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Delk * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Delk * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| B. Stewart | 25 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 21 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | - |
| J. Varnado | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 40 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| G. Davis * | 37 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 8-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Martin * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| G. Temple * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Lazare * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Mason | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Voogd | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Johnson | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Farrer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Rolle | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter