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2007-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 39.3% 60.7% -
Bradley-Terry 62.8% 37.2% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% -
Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.3% 71.7% -
Log Adjusted 27.7% 72.3% -

Actual: Brown Bears +4 (70-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Goffredo 39 6-16 5-9 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 20 5 -
D. Housman 35 6-13 0-2 4-5 4 7 2 0 6 16 10 -
E. Harris 27 2-3 0-0 1-3 11 0 1 2 2 5 14 -
B. Unger 26 1-5 1-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 4 3 0 -
A. Pusar 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
B. Darcy 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Lambert 13 3-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 -
J. Lin 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 3 2 2 -
P. Magnarelli 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Finkton 6 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Blankenau 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McAndrew 39 6-9 2-4 5-7 5 1 1 0 4 19 13 -
D. Huffman 36 5-8 2-5 2-3 4 2 6 0 0 14 18 -
M. Becker 31 3-5 1-2 1-2 1 3 3 1 2 8 9 -
M. MacDonald 25 3-7 1-3 6-11 3 3 0 3 0 13 15 -
C. Skrelja 19 1-6 0-2 2-3 3 2 3 0 2 4 4 -
S. Friske 17 2-5 1-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 -
M. Mullery 15 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 2 1 3 4 -
S. Gruber 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 3 -
S. Manhanga 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Aldridge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter