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2007-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% -
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% -
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 21.5% 78.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% -
Log Adjusted 5.4% 94.6% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Barnett * 37 5-10 1-5 2-2 4 3 3 0 3 13 10 -
J. Ball * 28 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 0 2 7 -
D. Mosley * 24 3-4 1-1 5-5 0 1 0 1 1 12 9 -
J. Meyer * 17 2-4 1-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
E. Fitzgerald * 9 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Pattman 34 6-13 1-3 2-2 3 7 3 0 5 15 10 -
D. Biber 25 3-8 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
M. Sanders 13 2-2 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 6 3 -
K. Graeber 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Pride 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato * 40 7-13 4-7 3-6 1 3 4 0 2 21 14 -
C. Holmes * 32 2-4 1-1 5-6 3 2 0 0 1 10 10 -
R. Morin * 27 3-5 0-0 9-9 7 1 0 1 2 15 17 -
M. Kyle * 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 2 2 -
C. Hughes * 15 3-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
N. Holmes 29 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 3 5 -
T. Pinick 27 5-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 12 10 -
P. Nelson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Zampier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter