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2007-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 31.7% 68.3% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.1% 34.9% -
Log Adjusted 65.3% 34.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bassett * 39 5-14 2-4 4-4 5 5 3 0 3 16 12 -
R. Wilmont * 36 5-11 0-1 5-6 3 2 0 0 1 15 8 -
E. Calloway * 29 1-2 0-0 4-4 3 2 2 0 1 6 10 -
D.J. White 37 7-11 0-0 6-8 8 0 0 0 3 20 14 -
A.J. Ratliff 28 2-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 3 6 2 -
J. Shaw 16 1-2 1-2 2-4 0 0 0 1 3 5 1 -
E. Suhr 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. White 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague * 38 11-18 6-8 4-5 7 2 0 2 4 32 21 -
C. Landry * 37 8-11 0-0 6-7 11 3 1 0 4 22 22 -
C. Kramer * 28 0-3 0-2 4-6 1 2 2 1 0 4 7 -
G. Watt * 26 1-4 0-0 2-3 4 1 4 2 2 4 9 -
K. Grant * 19 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
C. Lutz 24 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 4 0 1 0 6 9 -
T. Crump 19 4-9 0-1 5-6 2 1 0 0 2 13 5 -
M. Green 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 5 -
J. Uchendu 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter