Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -10 (48-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.