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2007-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 77.0% 23.0% -
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% -
Margin 25.7% 74.3% +5.8 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 41.3% 58.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.3% 36.7% -
Log Adjusted 63.5% 36.5% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -5 (69-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Ausdemore 0 9-16 3-5 8-8 5 3 3 0 0 29 24 -
J. Graham 0 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 6 6 -
K. Vandeventer 0 3-9 0-0 1-1 10 1 2 0 0 7 11 -
S. Schlapkohl 0 1-5 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Smith 0 2-12 2-4 5-6 1 6 0 0 0 11 6 -
A. Haluska * 38 5-19 3-13 16-18 6 0 0 0 1 29 15 -
T. Smith * 34 5-10 1-3 2-2 4 0 1 1 6 13 3 -
T. Freeman * 32 2-5 1-4 0-1 6 6 1 0 2 5 11 -
K. Looby * 26 2-3 0-0 1-3 6 1 2 1 0 5 12 -
C. Tate * 23 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 2 5 -
M. Henderson 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 6 3 -
J. Johnson 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 2 1 6 7 -
S. Gorney 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
J.R. Angle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter