Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +17 (91-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marentez | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| V. Oliver | 30 | 9-15 | 5-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 21 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 29 | 1-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -6 | - |
| C. Portz | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Calegari | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| A. Warmerdam | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Carter | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1 | - |
| F. Henry-Ala | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Boone | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| B. Ellis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Haynes | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 26 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| J. Heard | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| A. Washington | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Colston | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Miller | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Noblitt | 12 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Hill | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Everage | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Peters | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Tyson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Powers | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter