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2007-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Lehigh Mountain Hawks Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 โœ— (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—

Actual: Colgate Raiders -3 (53-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 43 6-13 2-5 0-0 2 6 1 0 4 14 6 -
U. Nwaigwe 40 4-15 2-5 6-11 6 2 0 0 2 16 7 -
B. White 32 1-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 2 6 -
Z. Carrington 29 3-8 0-0 2-5 10 0 2 1 1 8 12 -
M. Szalachowski 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 3 6 -
P. Anderson 21 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
K. Neptune 19 1-5 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Shamis 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Mgebroff 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Simon 40 3-9 0-2 0-2 2 4 1 0 1 6 3 -
W. Morse 32 7-10 4-7 0-1 6 1 0 0 0 18 15 -
K. Chones 32 6-12 5-8 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 17 7 -
M. Daniels 30 1-3 0-0 3-4 8 0 0 1 1 5 10 -
T. Vinson 29 1-9 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 0 -
P. Minchella 20 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 2 1 2 5 -
D. Waddy 17 1-3 1-2 0-2 5 1 1 0 3 3 4 -
D. Gentile 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Chones 8 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
T. Checovich 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
B. Jonson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter