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2007-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% -
Margin 70.5% 29.5% -4.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 26.5% 73.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.4% 77.6% -
Log Adjusted 22.2% 77.8% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Dugat 39 5-15 4-10 0-0 5 3 3 0 3 14 7 -
C. Jerrells 36 5-14 1-5 3-6 8 6 0 0 4 14 10 -
T. Bush 29 2-6 0-2 4-4 11 1 2 0 1 8 15 -
K. Rogers 28 12-20 0-0 3-3 12 0 0 0 1 27 18 -
T. Carter 25 1-8 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 2 5 1 -
P. Fields 21 1-6 0-2 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 3 -1 -
M. Diene 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Lomers 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hannah 36 8-15 4-6 5-6 3 2 3 0 2 25 16 -
K. Lawrence 34 9-13 4-6 2-2 8 2 0 2 0 24 23 -
M. Brown 30 3-9 0-3 4-6 8 3 0 3 3 10 12 -
M. Lawrence 25 2-9 0-7 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 5 -3 -
K. Grimes 24 0-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 1 1 1 1 6 -
J. Horton 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 0 2 -
L. Lyons 11 3-3 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 1 2 7 7 -
D. Butterfield 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
J.T. Tiller 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M. Watkins 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Volkus 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter