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2007-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 94.3% 5.7% -
Bradley-Terry 83.7% 16.3% -
Margin 89.5% 10.5% -11.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 85.1% 14.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 81.6% 18.4% -
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -8 (70-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McRoberts * 39 9-13 0-1 0-0 11 5 3 0 4 18 20 -
G. Paulus * 38 6-9 2-5 1-3 4 7 3 0 3 15 17 -
J. Scheyer * 35 4-12 3-7 1-2 3 1 3 1 0 12 8 -
D. Nelson * 33 6-11 3-5 0-1 6 3 1 0 4 15 10 -
D. McClure * 24 2-4 0-1 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
G. Henderson 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 8 4 -
L. Thomas 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Pocius 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
B. Zoubek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dudley * 39 4-5 0-0 3-5 4 3 0 0 4 11 9 -
T. Rice * 39 6-11 1-3 9-9 5 3 3 0 6 22 16 -
S. Marshall * 37 7-11 3-5 6-7 2 1 1 1 2 23 15 -
J. Oates * 23 1-5 1-3 2-3 7 2 0 1 1 5 9 -
S. Spears * 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Haynes 22 1-3 1-2 0-2 2 2 0 1 3 3 2 -
T. Blair 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 2 2 -
T. Roche 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter