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2007-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee State Tigers Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% -
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% -
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 (16.2 off)

Actual: Murray State Racers -4 (60-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Belton 42 7-10 3-4 1-2 6 1 2 0 1 18 16 -
L. Weaver 39 8-9 4-5 1-4 2 3 0 0 2 21 15 -
L. Turner 34 2-4 0-0 2-2 11 1 0 2 0 6 16 -
R. Ervin 31 0-5 0-2 0-0 2 7 1 0 3 0 2 -
C. Matthews 31 3-9 0-0 4-6 11 1 0 2 1 10 14 -
J. Houston 31 3-12 0-4 1-2 1 4 2 1 6 7 -3 -
C. Bohannon 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Ivy 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Horton 38 1-3 1-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 4 6 -
S. Witherspoon 37 7-15 2-6 1-1 9 2 3 0 1 17 15 -
B. Carter 37 5-11 2-2 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 12 10 -
R. George 31 2-8 0-3 2-3 3 5 0 1 4 6 3 -
M. Williams 30 4-11 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 10 1 -
T. Holloway 21 0-5 0-4 3-4 1 2 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Paul 13 3-5 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Parker 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Thomas 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
T. Easley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter