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2007-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 44.7% 55.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Log Adjusted 60.6% 39.4% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +4 (89-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Coury 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Crawford * 36 9-17 3-8 3-3 3 4 1 0 2 24 13 -
R. Bradley * 28 5-8 3-6 1-1 0 2 1 0 6 14 3 -
R. Morris * 27 5-9 0-0 4-7 12 1 3 2 2 14 21 -
D. Jasper * 26 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 4 0 0 0 8 12 -
B. Perry * 18 2-5 0-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 4 8 2 -
J. Meeks 28 3-5 2-4 2-2 2 4 1 0 4 10 8 -
S. Thomas 27 1-1 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 2 10 -
P. Stevenson 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
L. Obrzut 2 1-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
M. Porter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith * 32 4-9 0-4 1-1 7 3 2 0 2 9 10 -
C. Lofton * 30 6-14 4-10 7-8 3 5 0 0 1 23 16 -
D. Bradshaw * 27 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 9 1 0 2 0 6 -
R. Smith * 23 4-9 0-0 2-5 2 1 0 0 0 10 4 -
W. Chism * 23 7-11 2-2 0-0 3 4 3 3 0 16 18 -
J. Howell 19 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 6 6 -
D. Crews 18 7-10 0-0 4-8 3 0 0 2 0 18 13 -
J. Tabb 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
R. Childress 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -

* = starter