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2007-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 10.2% 89.8% -
Bradley-Terry 26.2% 73.8% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.6 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKowen * 38 4-9 2-4 5-6 3 3 1 0 7 15 6 -
J. Josten * 36 2-7 1-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 5 4 -
G. Stout * 32 6-11 1-3 0-0 8 3 1 2 1 13 15 -
E. Coleman * 25 3-13 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 3 8 2 -
T. Brown * 16 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 -2 -
A. Koch 19 1-2 0-1 5-7 2 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
K. Ahelegbe 17 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 3 3 -
A. Viet 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Eglseder 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Funk * 39 5-11 2-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 2 14 7 -
A. Tolliver * 33 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 4 2 5 3 7 13 -
N. Porter * 33 6-9 0-1 9-10 8 5 0 0 6 21 19 -
D. Watts * 29 5-8 3-5 3-4 9 0 1 1 1 16 18 -
I. Miles * 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
J. Dotzler 25 0-2 0-2 2-4 0 3 3 0 2 2 4 -
P. Hibma 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
N. Bahe 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Gakou 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter