Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Dowdell * | 41 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 17-19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 23 | - |
| J. Gordon * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Washington * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Green * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| L. Witcher * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A.D. Vassallo | 36 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -5 | - |
| C. Diakite | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Sailes | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Munson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| R. Krabbendam | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Tucker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 14-18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| B. Wright * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| R. Terry * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Miller | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Frasor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter