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2007-02-13

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 30.8% 69.2% -
Bradley-Terry 26.3% 73.7% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.2% 98.8% -
Log Adjusted 1.1% 98.9% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Dowdell * 41 7-15 2-4 17-19 3 2 2 1 3 33 23 -
J. Gordon * 36 5-11 0-2 0-0 3 4 1 0 1 10 6 -
D. Washington * 33 5-15 2-4 0-2 14 4 2 2 4 12 15 -
A. Green * 31 3-12 0-0 1-1 6 0 0 0 1 7 0 -
L. Witcher * 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
A.D. Vassallo 36 2-10 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -5 -
C. Diakite 17 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 0 9 11 -
M. Sailes 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Munson 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
R. Krabbendam 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Tucker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Lawson * 39 6-14 1-4 0-2 3 5 0 0 1 13 6 -
T. Hansbrough * 32 4-10 0-0 14-18 8 1 0 0 1 22 20 -
W. Ellington * 30 4-13 1-6 5-7 3 1 1 0 1 14 5 -
B. Wright * 26 3-7 0-0 0-2 7 0 1 2 1 6 8 -
R. Terry * 21 4-9 1-3 0-0 6 0 2 1 1 9 8 -
M. Ginyard 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
D. Green 17 2-4 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
D. Thompson 13 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
W. Miller 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Stepheson 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
B. Frasor 5 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter