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2007-02-13

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 6.9% 93.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 32.3% 67.7% +4.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 56.1% 43.9% -
Efficiency 71.6% 28.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.0% 22.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Umeh * 28 4-11 1-5 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 9 4 -
W. White * 28 4-10 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
W. Adams * 28 3-10 1-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 4 7 -2 -
K. Kruger * 26 3-9 3-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 5 9 0 -
G. Essengue * 18 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 5 7 -
J. Anthony 26 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 4 2 7 14 -
C. Terry 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
M. Lawrence 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
C. Bailey 8 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
J. Darger 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Rougeau 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Shaw 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade * 38 7-11 1-4 0-0 4 2 5 3 0 15 18 -
M. Abukar * 36 4-12 1-4 3-3 7 3 1 0 2 12 9 -
N. LeSure * 34 6-19 4-8 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 16 4 -
J. Habel * 32 4-8 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 2 1 9 9 -
R. Williams * 25 2-2 2-2 0-0 3 5 3 0 0 6 15 -
K. Spain 20 2-7 0-0 3-3 8 0 0 1 1 7 8 -
J. Johnson 11 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
D. Velasquez 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Pastorek 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Lamb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter