Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Umeh * | 28 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| W. White * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| W. Adams * | 28 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| K. Kruger * | 26 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| G. Essengue * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Anthony | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Terry | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Lawrence | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Bailey | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Darger | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Rougeau | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Shaw | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade * | 38 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. Abukar * | 36 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. LeSure * | 34 | 6-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| J. Habel * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Williams * | 25 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| K. Spain | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Velasquez | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Lamb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter