Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | Western Carolina Catamounts | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | +0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Carolina Catamounts -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mays | 34 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| R. Hood | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| C. Long | 32 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| N. Doaks | 22 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Watts | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Hartwell | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| B. Lowndes | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Bridgewaters | 13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Gwynne | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Russell | 36 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| N. Aldridge | 33 | 4-15 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Robinson | 33 | 7-17 | 7-16 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 12 | - |
| A. Gore | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Waginger | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| B. Giles | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| E. Wilson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. McKenna | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter