Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bargeman | 30 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Jones | 29 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| L. Rogers | 25 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Spencer | 24 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Moody | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Thomas | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. McConathy | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Bell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Gilder | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Hancock | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| E. Woods | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Jones | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Fonzie | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Alexander | 33 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| W. Johnson | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Weaver | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Dykes | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Miller | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Guy | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Hardaway | 9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Lewis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Jacobs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Ragland | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| H. Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter